Bremainers Ask…..  Hopes and Fears for 2026 Part One

Bremainers Ask….. Hopes and Fears for 2026 Part One

We asked six former Bremainers Ask contributors to tell us their hopes and fears for 2026. We are delighted to share insights from three of them:

Naomi Smith FCMA, Chief Executive Best for Britain

2025 was a geopolitical marathon for Britain, and for all of us working to rebuild the EU-UK relationship. There were false starts, stumbles and a couple of blow outs. We may be in a lot of pain, but that shouldn’t distract us from what was achieved in the slog, not least the fantastic news confirmed during the home stretch – that UK students will soon be participating in Erasmus+ once again. As we welcome the new year and lace up our running shoes again, we should be hopeful that we can do even better while remaining clear-eyed about the immense challenges that await.

I’m hopeful that this year will see more concrete progress on the areas of EU-UK cooperation set out in that EU-UK summit in May, many of which were first proposed by the UK Trade and Business Commission – organised by Best for Britain. Despite optimistic timeframes set out by Ursula von der Leyen, last year it became clear both sides were moving a lot slower than originally hoped, with meaningful negotiations on many key issues only really getting started as leaves turned orange.

The UK Government has pinned hopes of reducing high consumer prices on striking an agreement with our largest market on food standards and energy. These must come next year, but to make a difference that people can feel, this must only be the start. We need broader EU-UK alignment to ease trade friction and thereby reduce costs across the entire economy. Crucially, 2026 must also see the EU allow the UK and our advanced defence industry access to the SAFE rearmament fund. For the two sides to flounder on this critical issue of defence, in the same week that Putin and Trump were verbally carving up Ukraine, was shameful.

Increasingly, it looks like agreement on a Youth Experience Scheme is the key to unlocking all of it. Following our own recommendations to bridge the gap on outstanding issues, I am optimistic that we will see it confirmed this year, restoring opportunities and valuable cultural exchange to young people and communities across Britain – forging long lasting ties and boosting British soft-power.

The fear we should all have is if either side allows myopic political concerns to derail progress towards these goals. Nowhere is this a greater risk than in our collective action against Putin’s aggression and, unfortunately, nowhere is this more likely. It was the story throughout 2025. Any continued failure of the EU and UK to act in concert will only embolden the dictator, already boosted by a White House now openly hostile to Europe.

Another pothole is the local and Senedd elections in May. Many predict that a likely poor Labour showing will spark a cannonade of leadership challenges against Starmer, with reports suggesting many campaigns are at advanced stages of organisation. The rancour threatens to derail the crucial EU-UK Summit also scheduled for May, although there is a chance it could act as a stimulant rather than a blocker, as Starmer’s challengers tack more pro-Europe to court the Labour faithful.

 

Zoe Gardner, UK immigration and asylum policy campaigner

We enter 2026 in a dark and dangerous political time. The far-right controls the narrative on immigration, and the supposed centrists have apparently given up the fight, with the Labour government pursuing a pretty extreme anti-migrant agenda.

My biggest fear for 2026 is that the hateful narratives being fed into our politics – often seeded and funded from abroad and through the MAGA movement that brought Trump to power – will continue to take root, and that we will lose the sacred ground we hold for human rights and pluralism in favour of a US-style resurgence of ethno-nationalism.

The local elections and Senedd elections in May could see significant gains for the Reform party, with many councils falling to Reform control, and the Senedd race on a knife-edge. If councils are taken over by Reform, that could have direct and harmful consequences on funding and services available to vulnerable local migrant communities, but it will also feed a media narrative that positions the rise of the anti-migrant right as ever more inevitable in the run-up to a general election. Conversely, these elections are likely to bring hope as well, as Plaid Cymru, which has an unabashedly welcoming and positive agenda around migration may still win the most seats in Wales, providing a strong counter-narrative.

Across England as well, many urban councils will turn from Labour to the Greens and LibDems – parties that are offering more hope and positivity. Through well-organised anti-Reform voting, we could see its progress blocked in favour of these positive alternatives. This moment of hope is one that progressives should be ready to capitalise on as much as we can, fighting back against the narrative that the public’s only concern is who can be the harshest on immigrants.

If the Labour party then decide to change their leadership, we have another knife-edge moment of hope versus fear, where they could move either in a more progressive direction, or double down on the current approach. In the latter case I fear a real moment of despair, but there remains everything to play for. A progressive leadership that takes on a more pragmatic and humane approach to immigration still has time to turn around the polls. It could even introduce a fairer, more proportional voting system to avoid a future where Nigel Farage becomes Prime Minister on under 30% of the vote at the next election, which under First Past the Post is a terrifyingly real possibility.

In 2026 Tommy Robinson will lead big nationalist marches, and Trump will continue to work to strangle our attempts at European solidarity, notably with Ukraine. My hope is that the so-far silenced majority in this country, who reject a UK-brand of MAGA politics and refuse to acquiesce to racism will make ourselves heard at last. We must recognise the urgency of the moment and become far more vocal and confident about our demands for the kind of country we want to be.

Gina Miller, businesswoman, transparency and social justice campaigner

Why the UK must move faster on Europe – and be honest about what’s possible.

There is a growing generational divide at the heart of Britain’s relationship with Europe, and it is reshaping the political landscape faster than Westminster is willing to admit.

Recent polling consistently shows that young people overwhelmingly want a much closer relationship with the EU, with large majorities supportive of eventual re-joining. But it also reveals a crucial truth: the politics of re-membership are not viable in the short term. The real danger now is not timidity, but unrealistic ambition that could derail the entire project.

Multiple polls underline how far opinion has shifted. YouGov research shows that around 56% of the public now believe Brexit was a mistake, while a Best for Britain/YouGov poll found over 60% support the UK seeking a closer relationship with the EU. Among younger voters, the numbers are far more striking. Savanta polling for ITV’s Peston indicates that between two-thirds and three-quarters of 18–25-year-olds would vote to rejoin the EU if given the chance. This is not a marginal trend; it is a generational realignment.

Yet even among these younger, strongly pro-European voters, there is realism. The lesson of the past decade is that grand constitutional leaps without public consent backfire. With the next general election due at the latest by August 2029, and Reform UK now leading in several polls, the political window for rebuilding UK-EU ties is narrow and fragile. An all-out push for immediate re-joining risks alienating swing voters and handing ammunition to those who would freeze or reverse cooperation altogether.

That said, Labour’s current approach feels too slow. The polling shows the public is ready, impatient for practical progress. What they are not asking for is symbolism or abstract debates about sovereignty. They want outcomes that have real life positive consequences.

There are clear, achievable “easy wins” that could be delivered within this Parliament and would lock in lasting benefits. A Youth Mobility Scheme tops the list. Polling shows strong support across age groups for restoring opportunities to live, work and study in Europe, particularly for young people who lost those rights overnight through Brexit. A capped, reciprocal scheme would not reopen the freedom of movement debate, it would restore hope and opportunity where it is most urgently needed.

Equally important is re-joining EU data-sharing and security mechanisms. Polling consistently shows over 70% of the public support cooperation with the EU on security, policing and crime. These systems make the UK safer, more effective and more trusted. Leaving them fragmented is ideological and dangerous, not pragmatic.

There is also a clear template available. The recently updated Swiss-EU agreement demonstrates how a non-member state can secure structured access to EU programmes, regulatory cooperation and economic integration without full membership. The UK’s circumstances differ, but the lesson is the same: alignment can be deep, durable and politically defensible.

The real prize before 2029 and a possible Reform led government, is not re-joining. It is irreversibility – embedding cooperation so deeply that it cannot easily be undone by a future anti-EU government. Young people understand this instinctively. They want Britain back at the European table – but they also know that losing the 2029 election would mean losing everything.

Hope requires ambition. Fear demands urgency. Collective realism in 2026 from all pro-EU campaigns and campaigners is what will decide whether this moment is seized or squandered – even as those in favour of rejoining is set to continue to grow each year leading up to the next general election due to demographic changes and leavers changing their minds.

 

Next month – Hopes and Fears for 2026  Part Two

Our three remaining contributors, Director of UK in a Changing World, Professor Anand Menon, leading UK authority on international trade policy, David Henig, and the driving force behind the National Rejoin March, Peter Corr, will share their hopes and fears for 2026.

BREMAIN IN SPAIN STATEMENT  RE HOME OFFICE’S PROPOSED IMMIGRATION POLICY

BREMAIN IN SPAIN STATEMENT RE HOME OFFICE’S PROPOSED IMMIGRATION POLICY

Bremain in Spain are strongly opposed to the Home Office’s latest immigration proposals. Not only are the proposals cruel, divisive and extreme, but they are likely to cause resident migrants unnecessary disquiet, even fear. In addition, they will have little or no impact on immigration levels, or on small boat numbers in particular.

At a time when net UK migration is falling, and there are significant skills shortages across a number of industries, the proposals do nothing to resolve these issues. Nor do they tackle the real issues surrounding immigration, namely the lack of safe routes for asylum seekers or the threat posed by people smugglers to the most vulnerable refugees.

The proposed changes to immigration policy – which are worthy of the far-right – have been lauded by both Nigel Farage and Tommy Robinson.

What is the Home Office proposing?

The measures recently announced by the Home Secretary, Shabana Mahmood, include plans to:

  • Make refugee status temporary
  • Enforce returns to “safe” countries
  • Redefine “family” status
  • Seize asylum seekers’ jewellery
  • Prevent migrants from claiming benefits
  • Force migrants to wait longer for “settled status”, in some cases up to 20 years

You can read the full “Restoring Order and Control” proposals here

Want to share your thoughts with the Home Office on the proposals? Complete the survey here

Widespread opposition

The proposals could see ICE-style raids in the UK, a further exodus of NHS staff and risk negating protections provided by the European Court of Human Rights. It is no wonder then that it has been widely condemned by citizens rights’ campaigners, including Amnesty International, Lord Alf Dubbs and even numerous Labour MPs.

There is a better way

As we say in our Mission statement, “​we stand firmly against far-right nationalism and promote the values of tolerance, inclusion, and equality.”

Bremain believes that immigration is not only essential for economic growth, but that multiculturalism enhances our society and enriches our lives.

For those of us fortunate to live in Spain, we have witnessed the benefits of immigration first hand, and seen the impact on the Spanish economy of a more tolerant, open-minded approach.

Members comments

We’d like to thank all members who shared their own thoughts on the new policy.

“The idea that people with refugee status could be forced to return to their home country if it becomes safe appalls me. Imagine a situation whereby a person could make a life in the UK, forge a career, fall in love, marry, raise a family, etc., only to be told after 5, 10, 20 years that they will be returned to a country now deemed to be safe. How can this be right?” – Ruth Woodhouse

“My view is that the new proposals are far too harsh for refugees. People who are in danger if they return to their country of origin, and those wanting to join close family in the UK should also be automatically accepted. The government are competing with Reform, to see who can treat these poor people more harshly.” – Debbie Black

“Asylum seekers are legally entitled to claim asylum under international law and have their applications processed fairly. Immigration has played a massive role in the UK’s development throughout history. My great grandmother was from Ireland. Sick and tired of the far right leading the agenda with Labour mirroring everything Reform say.” – Rob Nay

What is being proposed is inhumane and one should consider what would happen if the situation was reversed and we were seeking Asylum. The government should stop trying to pander to the far-right racists because for them nothing is too extreme and maybe focus on improving everyone’s lives.” – Mark Whorlow

“Advertising the fact that access to benefits will be restricted to British citizens is horrifying! It will have a hugely detrimental effect by discouraging anyone from moving to the UK in the future, at a time when the UK needs immigration owing to a declining birth rate, vacancies in the NHS, the care sector and hospitality. The ‘hostile environment” created by May and subsequent HO Ministers serves no purpose.” – Michael Soffe

“Labour have shot themselves in the foot trying to outdo Reform in tackling immigration. The majority of the UK do not support Reform. The government’s approach should be humane, looking especially at the Spanish model, and at the same time crush the lies spread about asylum seekers by educating people on their plight, living conditions in hotels and funding. And of course, if we were in the EU things would be so different.” – Anon

“I used the “additional information” box in the government questionnaire to point out that it is largely biased against immigration, with no questions asking if we think the immigration process should be made easier and less intimidating. The overall impression given is that immigration is bad and something needs to be done to drastically reduce it. Same old same old.” – Claire Monks

“I am still in shock that a UK Labour government should propose such drastic changes. They don’t differentiate between refugees (who are never illegal until their asylum claim is processed) and migrants! Disgraceful right-wing incitement!” – Magdalena Williams

“They must put something in the tea at the Home Office – first Yvette, now Shabana. Disgusting.” – John Gaskell

 

 

Just when you think things can’t get any worse, along comes another Home Secretary, hell bent on proving she is tougher, more divisive, and even crueller than any of her predecessors. In the process, Labour have thrown the last remnants of their philosophy straight out of the Home Office window.
While Labour’s time in office continues to cause dismay, I really wasn’t expecting anything quite so nasty or extreme as the latest immigration plans. It’s no wonder Starmer is now the most unpopular PM ever, even taking into account Johnson, Truss and Cameron.
It’s clear the Government’s leaders have lost their way, their common sense, and their bottle. As they continue to waste time and energy chasing far-right policies, they seem unable to join the dots and grasp the reasons for their declining support.
There’s no doubt that the UK asylum system needs a major overhaul. This is not the way to do it. We, as migrants, must stand firm at the side of others, many with far more desperate and pressing reasons for seeking a new life in a new country.
Britain used to be known as a tolerant, welcoming society that embraced multi-culturalism, compassion and fairness. It can be again, but we have to work at it. There’ll never be a better time to fight than right now.

Sue Wilson – Chair